Polymarket Trader

User8291

0x54d74a295cac529987271fd4d8b524ebdaa3c0bf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.78K
Realized PnL: $20.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $221.26
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.38K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $121.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $19.52
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.58K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$80.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$98.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $83.3
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.52K
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$16.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$96.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $35.14
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.57K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$64.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $403.48
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $303.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$98.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $6.51
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$93.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$98.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $9.11
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$91.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $143.17
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $43.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$96.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $9.11
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$91.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $403.48
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $303.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $87.2
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.52K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$12.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $507.6
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $407.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $74.19
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.53K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$25.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $26.03
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.58K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$74.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $6.51
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$93.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $507.6
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $407.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $221.26
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.38K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $121.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$92.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$92.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $981.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $971.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $969.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $966.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $966.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $965.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $965.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $779.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $482.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $482.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,541.51 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 2,603.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.9% 500.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.9% 280.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.9% 280.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.9% 370.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.9% 370.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.8% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.8% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.8% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.9% 190.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.9% 220.61 shares