Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.61K
- Potential profit
- $46.61K
- User PnL
- -$93.21
Polymarket Trader
mantou11
0x54dbe14d342f129be293df83a12515065b6c0174
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $710.33
- Realized PnL
- $78.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.32K
- Potential profit
- $35.32K
- User PnL
- -$531.53
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.94K
- Potential profit
- $7.94K
- User PnL
- -$15.87
Yes position
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.04K
- Potential profit
- $7.04K
- User PnL
- -$40.86
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.6K
- User PnL
- -$309.57
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- User PnL
- -$294.81
Yes position
Will Scottish Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- User PnL
- -$5.21
No position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$174.35
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$137.69
Yes position
Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$54.02
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$191.24
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$189.76
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$225.36
Yes position
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $708.77
- Potential payout
- $885.96
- Potential profit
- $177.19
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $351.41
Yes position
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 12-15%?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $871.46
- Potential profit
- $871.46
- User PnL
- -$27.56
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $805.06
- Potential profit
- $803.85
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$44.69
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $772.64
- Potential profit
- $772.64
- User PnL
- -$50.39
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $718.92
- Potential profit
- $718.56
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.07
Yes position
Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $705
- Potential profit
- $705
- User PnL
- -$119.29
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be 75% or higher?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $578
- Potential profit
- $578
- User PnL
- -$10.79
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $452.19
- Potential profit
- $452.19
- User PnL
- -$23.22
No position
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $446.33
- Potential profit
- $446.33
- User PnL
- -$267.8
Yes position
Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $425.31
- Potential profit
- $425.31
- User PnL
- -$55.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.33K
Yes position
Will Democrats win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.9K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.92K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28K
Yes position
Will "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71K
No position
Will the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
Will the Labor Party win by 40 or more seats?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win by 25–49 seats?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
Yes position
Will egg prices be less than $5.00 in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
Yes position
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 60m and 70m views in first 24 hours?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Yes position
Will the Liberals win between 190-210 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win by 1–24 seats?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election by more than 30%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will the Liberals win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?Yes 59.5% 160.37 shares
- Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?No 44.8% 191.85 shares
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?Yes 71% 213.37 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?Yes 1.3% 174 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?Yes 3.3% 269.79 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No 47% 775 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No 46% 121.69 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No 45% 430.2 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?Yes 6.9% 535.27 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?Yes 2.7% 241.24 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?No 9.9% 108 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?No 10% 100 shares