Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $10.45
- Potential payout
- $535.71
- Potential profit
- $525.27
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Polymarket Trader
campusss
0x54dea53c2bace4f9711492e830af8806612b67b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $155.7
- Realized PnL
- $80.68
- Win rate
- 34.8%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $227.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $19.31
- Potential payout
- $167.92
- Potential profit
- $148.61
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$20.69
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.55
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.71
- Potential profit
- $73.71
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $40.41
- Potential payout
- $43.22
- Potential profit
- $2.81
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.45
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $8.49
- Potential payout
- $41.32
- Potential profit
- $32.83
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $26.42
- Potential payout
- $39.73
- Potential profit
- $13.31
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $13.42
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $29.01
- Potential payout
- $29.03
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $8.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $12.16
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $13.04
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.14
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.64
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.66
Down position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.53
Yes position
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.92
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.44
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.34
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.62
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.8
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.24
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 12?Yes 4.9% 20.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 9?Yes 2% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 8?Yes 1.4% 73.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 9?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 9?Yes 29% 4.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 9?Yes 2.2% 227.27 shares
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 23% 13.04 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes 11.2% 39.21 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes 25.5% 39.22 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No 58% 17.24 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes 18% 16.67 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?No 39% 25.64 shares