No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $12.11K
- Potential payout
- $12.95K
- Potential profit
- $842
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $10.17K
Polymarket Trader
Adrink3D
@Adrink3D
0x54e15a0a77e3147ac78831804e5dde13cb589d5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.94K
- Realized PnL
- $7.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $3.71K
- Potential payout
- $6.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $786.04
- Potential payout
- $5.04K
- Potential profit
- $4.25K
- Multiplier
- 6.41x
- User PnL
- $132.82
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $31.23
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.87K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.79
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.8%
- Current value
- $594.42
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 2.80x
- User PnL
- $420.08
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $172.9
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $129.79
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $501.65
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $854.17
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $36.65
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Current value
- $799
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $201
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $98
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $239.33
- Potential payout
- $976.87
- Potential profit
- $737.53
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $82.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $801.68
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $475.67
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.85
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $271.12
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.89
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Multiplier
- 12.20x
- User PnL
- $146.74
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.62
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.99
No position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $92.58
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.19
No position
Will PDD Holdings (PDD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.26
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $75.23
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.82
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.99
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.94
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.51
Yes position
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Designer Brands Inc (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes 27.4% 91.37 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes 34.3% 1,355.82 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 21.4% 2,800 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No 92% 1,500 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No 92% 1,600 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETDown 27% 18.52 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 17.9% 6,140.84 shares
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes 17.7% 2,513.67 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 80% 473.48 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 1.1% 3,156.5 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes 14.9% 885.5 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 35% 10 shares