Polymarket Trader

justwokeup

0x54e4e0c5a81e664b37fd0bf906969b4507e270b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.78K
Realized PnL: $26.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $702.35
Potential payout: $93.65K
Potential profit: $92.94K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$46.82

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.76K
Potential profit: $45.76K
User PnL: -$1.1K

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $261.32
Potential payout: $24.89K
Potential profit: $24.63K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$107.09

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.17K
Potential profit: $15.17K
User PnL: -$421.23

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.33K
Potential profit: $6.33K
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $5.6K
User PnL: -$560

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $785.55
Potential payout: $5.42K
Potential profit: $4.63K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$777.69

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.04K
Potential profit: $4.04K
User PnL: -$513.53

No position

Will Donald Trump attend the G7 Summit?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $2.88K
User PnL: -$220.4

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $18.64
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$233.82

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$305.51

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$174.17

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$249.17

No position

Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $442.11
Potential profit: $442.11
User PnL: -$133.42

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $40.01
Potential profit: $30.21
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $19.81
Potential profit: $18.93
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$2.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.55K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $972.38

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $891.35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $882.19

No position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $813.36

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $808.51

No position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $797.12

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $714.02

No position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $638.54

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $638

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $629.29

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600.05

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $531.51

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.94

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $471.46

No position

Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.69

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.94

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.54

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Yes 13% 40.01 shares
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.3% 8,030.61 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 15% 3,000 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Yes 1.3% 1,924.62 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Yes 1.2% 34,723.25 shares
Will Donald Trump attend the G7 Summit?

No 5.4% 60.42 shares
Will Donald Trump attend the G7 Summit?

No 5.3% 211 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Yes 9% 1,039.18 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Yes 5.8% 6,314.61 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 17% 3,333 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 9% 9,096.71 shares
Will Donald Trump attend the G7 Summit?

No 8% 2,351.4 shares