Polymarket Trader

ffwik

0x54e673e56b0f2dbf0294aeb844bda56a22a2d8c2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.21
Realized PnL: $0.98
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.4%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $3.28
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $4.49
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $4.14
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $4.91
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $4.38
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $4.72
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: $0.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Ethereum above $1,900 on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Solana hit $300 by February 28 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Ends Apr 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?

No 99.7% 6,019.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 99.6% 1 shares
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 5.01 shares
Will Solana reach $190 in May?

Yes 69% 9.88 shares
Ethereum above $1,900 on April 11?

No 97.8% 9.82 shares
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Yes 0.1% 9,555 shares
Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?

No 97.6% 9.61 shares
Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?

No 98.9% 9.38 shares
Will Solana hit $300 by February 28 2025?

No 99.9% 9.28 shares
Will Solana hit $300 by February 28 2025?

No 99.7% 9.29 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 33% 2.32 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?

No 99.7% 8.52 shares