Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $219
- Potential profit
- $219
- User PnL
- -$10.29
Polymarket Trader
BubblyTruffle
0x5514b8480cf4fd1487728cdf939add4659a988f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $82.56
- Realized PnL
- $79.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $114
- Potential profit
- $112.92
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $81.47
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $38
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$1.31
No position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$28.02
No position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.51
- Potential profit
- $3.51
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.81
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No 93.6% 85 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.2% 104 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 23?Yes 4.7% 71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 9?Yes 5.1% 38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?Yes 4.1% 32 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?No 3.9% 46 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.8% 34 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?Yes 95.3% 78 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?No 4.8% 31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 15?No 97.4% 65 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 97.4% 85 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.1% 50 shares