Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $932.26
- Potential profit
- $932.26
- User PnL
- -$223.14
Polymarket Trader
hellojosh
0x5519b964a6afb9809f9a061caed6912d98391c6c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.38K
- Realized PnL
- $930.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $79.34
- Potential payout
- $615.03
- Potential profit
- $535.69
- Multiplier
- 7.75x
- User PnL
- -$348.79
No position
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $548.08
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- User PnL
- $131.58
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $499.79
- Potential payout
- $500.29
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $66.94
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $407.25
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $42.75
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 29?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $441.94
- Potential profit
- $441.94
- User PnL
- -$376
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,750 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $364.64
- Potential profit
- $364.64
- User PnL
- -$338.35
No position
Will Trump sue the BBC?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $274.64
- Potential profit
- $274.64
- User PnL
- -$212.19
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $187
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $21
No position
US bank failure by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$188
No position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$190
No position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$98.5
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $111.98
- Potential payout
- $112.26
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $7.58
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $104.32
- Potential payout
- $104.38
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $6.39
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $99.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $9.05
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $99.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $8.85
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $94.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $22.95
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$9.9
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $95.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $20.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $49.93
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $10.42
No position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$39.89
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.7
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61
No position
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.04
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.97
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.72
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.6
No position
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 27?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.26
No position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.13
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.8
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.2
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.78
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.16
No position
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.47
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.87
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.7
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.45
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.75
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No 86% 596.64 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No 81.9% 496.37 shares
- Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No 70% 299.99 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?No 94% 49.78 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No 95% 49.82 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No 85% 50 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?No 94% 20 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?No 93.6% 44.38 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?No 90.8% 100 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?No 91% 100 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?No 45.5% 238.04 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?No 90.6% 336.27 shares