Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $820
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Polymarket Trader
watchmewhip
0x551a79d6101081d721262a2605187674fc1686b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.98K
- Realized PnL
- $4.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $3.18K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $820
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $577.39
- Potential profit
- $577.39
- User PnL
- -$361.41
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $492.38
- Potential payout
- $569.22
- Potential profit
- $76.84
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $8.38
No position
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540.33
- Potential profit
- $540.33
- User PnL
- -$409.44
No position
Trump goes to space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $489.04
- Potential payout
- $499.53
- Potential profit
- $10.49
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.99
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $475.44
- Potential profit
- $475.44
- User PnL
- -$48.39
No position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $385.94
- Potential payout
- $412.77
- Potential profit
- $26.83
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $356.91
- Potential payout
- $363.63
- Potential profit
- $6.73
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.47
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.94
- Potential profit
- $316.94
- User PnL
- -$94.5
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $292.71
- Potential payout
- $309.75
- Potential profit
- $17.04
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.65
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.39
- Potential profit
- $303.39
- User PnL
- -$119.08
No position
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $269.38
- Potential payout
- $290.28
- Potential profit
- $20.9
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $46.81
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.05
- Potential profit
- $235.05
- User PnL
- -$24.44
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $192.19
- Potential payout
- $200.52
- Potential profit
- $8.32
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $188.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $11.8
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$7.3
No position
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $136.66
- Potential payout
- $146.94
- Potential profit
- $10.29
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134
- Potential profit
- $134
- User PnL
- -$25.55
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.6%
- Current value
- $63.6
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $36.4
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Y
Yes position
Will Yeet launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $54.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $45.5
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.06
- Potential profit
- $71.06
- User PnL
- -$4.95
No position
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $62.03
- Potential payout
- $64.99
- Potential profit
- $2.96
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $725.95
Yes position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $408.32
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.55
Yes position
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.68
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.45
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.38
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.44
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.39
No position
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.75
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.95
No position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.01
No position
Will Opensea launch a token by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.97
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.43
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.12
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.12
No position
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $91.61
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.04
Yes position
Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.49
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.24
No position
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.17
No position
Will Gen Z Quant kid launch another coin by Friday?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
No position
Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.95
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.94
No position
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 59% 169.49 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?No 95.8% 525 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 68% 294.12 shares
- Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 98% 20 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?No 98.3% 813.84 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?No 98.2% 82.81 shares
- Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?No 98% 110 shares
- Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?No 82% 5 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No 3.6% 704.26 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 20% 149.95 shares
- Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?Yes 48% 8.33 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 999.94 shares