Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $232.76
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $779.24
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $74.59
Polymarket Trader
liu-4-steam
0x5534eaac4b15eb81b79ea8c8bb21f27c40a21064
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $298.41
- Realized PnL
- $2.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $24.06
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $95.94
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $20.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $79.35
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Over position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.82
- Potential payout
- $10.82
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.12
- Potential payout
- $10.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.47
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $505.92
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.01
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.56
No position
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.06
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
No position
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.6
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.03
Ninjas in Pyjamas position
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.44
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
SK Gaming position
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.11
Sabres position
Sabres vs. Panthers
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
Germany position
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmark
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.7
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.7
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will Trump win no swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.3
No position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.2
France position
Portugal vs. France - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Top Esports position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes 98.8% 10.12 shares
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Over 92.4% 10.82 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No 1.9% 84 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No 1.6% 1,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 42% 13.51 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 87% 60 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 56% 532.68 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes 14.6% 620 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yes 26.8% 500 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?No 41% 65 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1.2% 3,000 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 5.5% 1,000 shares