No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Current value
- $55.09
- Potential payout
- $65.31
- Potential profit
- $10.22
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Polymarket Trader
pontoon
0x55355ef7e631fe5c6fe23e81365ee1a6dedb6a3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $144.32
- Realized PnL
- $1.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Current value
- $58.9
- Potential payout
- $64.8
- Potential profit
- $5.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$5.83
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $30.33
- Potential payout
- $30.85
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.28
Up position
XRP Up or Down on August 17?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.07
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.93
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.07
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.4
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.6
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.9
Yes position
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
No position
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.93
Down position
Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2AM ET
Ends Sep 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.21
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2AM ET
Ends Sep 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on August 16?
Ends Aug 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 2AM ET
Ends Sep 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Bitcoin above $119.2K on August 17 at 12PM ET?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $210 on September 4 at 4AM ET?
Ends Sep 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Bitcoin above $117.4K on August 17 at 12PM ET?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Yes 99.9% 64.8 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 96.3% 64.75 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 95% 62.2 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.4% 65.31 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No 95.8% 30.85 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 99.8% 74.39 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?Yes 95% 16.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 96% 73.54 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No 99.1% 5 shares
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?Yes 98.7% 105.63 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes 99.7% 30.51 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 98.8% 60.41 shares