Yes position
Will there be 165,000,000-170,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.81K
- Potential profit
- $5.81K
- User PnL
- -$5.81
Polymarket Trader
0x553d80433DBd3C886F46e0F43c7880276988eAf6-1725945673831
0x553d80433dbd3c886f46e0f43c7880276988eaf6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $85.46
- Realized PnL
- $1.82K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $831.66
- Potential profit
- $831.66
- User PnL
- -$430.49
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $708.34
- Potential profit
- $708.34
- User PnL
- -$354.17
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $313.91
- Potential profit
- $313.91
- User PnL
- -$165.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $272.56
- Potential profit
- $272.56
- User PnL
- -$136.28
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $264.88
- Potential profit
- $264.88
- User PnL
- -$132.44
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.78
- Potential profit
- $226.78
- User PnL
- -$113.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.37
- Potential profit
- $212.37
- User PnL
- -$108.31
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $85.46
- Potential payout
- $153.99
- Potential profit
- $68.52
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$26.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12PM ET
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.59
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.14
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 4AM ET
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.25
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.45
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.87
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 29, 6PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.75
Down position
Solana Up or Down on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3AM ET
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.86
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?
Ends Jul 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Nick Delehanty win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown 50% 272.56 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETDown 50% 226.78 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes 5% 629 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown 50% 241.86 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown 50% 260.67 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown 50% 254.53 shares
- Solana Up or Down - January 21, 3AM ETDown 51% 218.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6AM ETUp 51% 212.37 shares
- Solana Up or Down - December 29, 6PM ETDown 51% 195.41 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 4AM ETDown 51% 388.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3AM ETDown 51% 124.2 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 73% 153.99 shares