Polymarket Trader

Altar888

0x5544a5320735f2e0c0c79c0c3bda259e5481d291

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $171.1
Realized PnL: $569.04
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.62K
Potential profit: $4.62K
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.95K
User PnL: -$111

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$94

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$155.93

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $75.2
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$121.47

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $34.96
Potential payout: $987.66
Potential profit: $952.7
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$65.04

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $60.94
Potential payout: $937.51
Potential profit: $876.57
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$89.06

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $913.29
Potential profit: $913.29
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.41
Potential profit: $699.41
User PnL: -$39.95

No position

U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $628.57
Potential profit: $628.57
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $433.49
Potential profit: $433.49
User PnL: -$146.89

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379.63
Potential profit: $379.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375.4
Potential profit: $375.4
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $368.74
Potential profit: $368.74
User PnL: -$138.13

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.43

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.23

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.46

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.92

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 63% 351.97 shares
Netanyahu out by April 30?

Yes 4.3% 1,175.16 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 16% 937.5 shares
Trump out as President by March 31?

Yes 3.9% 1,284.87 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 10.1% 987.66 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 17% 1,156.88 shares
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Yes 35% 571.43 shares
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Yes 13% 384.62 shares
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Yes 5.5% 913.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Down 29% 366.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Down 62.4% 62.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Down 26.7% 73.42 shares