Polymarket Trader

marcoisno.1

0x55554d61201156bad9deabd67513b64685d5823b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.83K
Realized PnL: $3.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.97K
Potential profit: $49.97K
User PnL: -$1.44K

Yes position

Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $626.54
Potential payout: $4.32K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$340.85

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$93.24

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $70.28
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$206.72

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $126.49
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $885.41
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$150.51

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $969
Potential profit: $969
User PnL: -$484.5

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $57.58
Potential payout: $959.63
Potential profit: $902.05
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$9.6

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $775.06
Potential payout: $777
Potential profit: $1.94
User PnL: $83.53

No position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $244.76
Potential payout: $777
Potential profit: $532.25
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$143.75

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $532.25
Potential payout: $777
Potential profit: $244.76
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $143.75

No position

Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $384.61
Potential payout: $776.99
Potential profit: $392.38
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$66.04

Yes position

Will Portugal be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $658.43
Potential payout: $756.82
Potential profit: $98.39
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$7.57

No position

Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $390.47
Potential payout: $587.18
Potential profit: $196.7
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $8.81

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $266.18
Potential payout: $444
Potential profit: $177.82
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$151.63

No position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $335.22
Potential payout: $444
Potential profit: $108.78
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$19.98

No position

Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.7%
Current value: $376.96
Potential payout: $439.86
Potential profit: $62.9
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $5.28

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $433.49
Potential profit: $433.49
User PnL: -$277

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $385
Potential profit: $385
User PnL: -$77

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $374.32
Potential profit: $374.32
User PnL: -$277

No position

Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $324.51
Potential payout: $366.68
Potential profit: $42.17
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $38.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.69
Potential profit: $351.69
User PnL: -$298.77

Yes position

Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $342.94
Potential profit: $342.94
User PnL: -$77

No position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $332.5
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $42.79

No position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $327.51
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $5.49
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $17.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $484.5

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.26

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.92

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.32

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.66

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $175.16

Yes position

UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.14

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.23

Yes position

Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.44

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.49

Yes position

Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.42

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.77

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.07

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.89

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.9

Yes position

Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.32

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.78

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.24

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.39

Yes position

FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.04

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.8

No position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.98

No position

Will Leverkusen reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.43

No position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Over 62% 264.92 shares
Will England be the highest-scoring team in Group L during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 94.9% 173.89 shares
Will Portugal be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 88% 756.82 shares
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 23% 1,000 shares
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 25.5% 167.91 shares
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 23% 168.75 shares
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 22% 498.74 shares
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 20% 217.34 shares
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 19% 116.57 shares
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

No 65% 51 shares
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

No 58% 106.23 shares
Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

No 84.5% 32.18 shares