Polymarket Trader

LieAndSmile

0x55593894c5f5ba8e80b568fa34a69e7b81f72bd2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $137.36
Realized PnL: $6.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $17.69
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $9.55
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$4.45

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $760.38
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $36.82
Potential payout: $350.71
Potential profit: $313.89
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$16.18

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $318.48
Potential profit: $315.46
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $233.22
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $12.02
Potential payout: $157.13
Potential profit: $145.11
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: $2.02

Alexander Zverev position

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.21
Potential profit: $98.21
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.44
Potential profit: $69.44
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $27.52
Potential payout: $66.23
Potential profit: $38.71
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $7.52

Under position

Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.86
Potential profit: $64.86
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $12.82
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $47.79
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $57.77
Potential profit: $53.59
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$0.81

Under position

Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.17
Potential profit: $55.17
User PnL: -$32

Under position

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.08
Potential profit: $52.08
User PnL: -$25

Under position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.02
Potential profit: $51.02
User PnL: -$25

Oksana Selekhmeteva position

Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Oksana Selekhmeteva

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$15

Kilian Feldbausch position

Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.28
Potential profit: $48.28
User PnL: -$14

Los Angeles Sparks position

Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$30

Over position

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$20

Under position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$15

Over position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $22.99
User PnL: -$5

Atlanta Dream position

Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

DN Freecs position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-In

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $871.49

Capitals position

Penguins vs. Capitals

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $816.69

Leviatan Esports position

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.88

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming position

LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.55

Ninjas in Pyjamas position

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.87

Hurricanes position

Bruins vs. Hurricanes

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.92

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273

BNK FEARX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.35

Los Ratones position

LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $252.75

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.78

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.41

Avalanche position

Wild vs. Avalanche

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.16

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.03

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.98

Celtics position

Spread: Celtics (-7.5)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.16

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Utah

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.19

Bulls position

Spread: Bulls (-6.5)

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.1

Magic position

Spread: Pistons (-10.5)

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.37

Over position

Knicks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.27

Sabres position

Canadiens vs. Sabres

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.64

Alabama Crimson Tide position

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.95

Leviatan Esports position

LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.65

Team Heretics position

LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.45

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Yes 1.6% 318.48 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Yes 8.7% 57.77 shares
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)

Los Angeles Sparks 66% 45.45 shares
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Kilian Feldbausch 29% 48.28 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 14% 35.71 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 24% 62.5 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 33% 80 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 25% 80 shares
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins 50% 20 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Bilibili Gaming 24% 20.83 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Bilibili Gaming 79% 23.25 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

Hanwha Life Esports 47% 21.28 shares