Yes position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $53.7
- Potential payout
- $537
- Potential profit
- $483.3
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$48.33
Polymarket Trader
idealists
0x55656a8b6875c8f1dce122cd2d4db1b52ef69184
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $285.17
- Realized PnL
- $2.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $39.5
- Potential payout
- $418
- Potential profit
- $378.5
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- -$44.1
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $189.97
- Potential payout
- $242
- Potential profit
- $52.03
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $37.51
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
North Carolina Central Eagles position
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.91
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.48
No position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.8
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.68
Over position
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.6
No position
Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.85
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 11, 9PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.5
Yes position
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.55
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.24
Yes position
Will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.27
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.97
Yes position
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.29
Yes position
Will the US strike 2 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.92
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 10PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.3
No position
Pakistan military action against Kabul by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.7
Yes position
Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-04-17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.4
Yes position
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.4
Yes position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $27.02
No position
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
No position
Will Lucinda M. Margolis - Jeopardy! win Best Director of a Reality / Quiz & Game at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.76
Yes position
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.8
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.71
No position
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.52
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes 76% 10 shares
- Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?No 31% 429 shares
- Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?No 73% 420 shares
- Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?No 9% 133 shares
- Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?No 9% 324 shares
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 63% 242 shares
- AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids GriffinsGrand Rapids Griffins 24.9% 637 shares
- Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?No 12% 457 shares
- Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 48% 355 shares
- Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 48% 746 shares
- Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?No 67% 420 shares
- Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 81% 1,101 shares