Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $650.34
- Potential payout
- $651.32
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- User PnL
- $23.52
Polymarket Trader
weatheralpha-
@marcela117798
0x556bb60768b7f4bea93632abf2b333357d7b4e33
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.15K
- Realized PnL
- $103.73
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $200.21
- Potential payout
- $201.42
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $127.63
- Potential payout
- $127.95
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $28.03
- Potential profit
- $28.02
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.99
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.91
- Potential payout
- $14.92
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $11.97
- Potential payout
- $12.31
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $9.59
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $1.08
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?No 0.1% 199.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?No 0.9% 201 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?Yes 95.7% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 24?Yes 98.6% 90.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 24?Yes 98.5% 92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 24?No 99% 14.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 24?Yes 98.3% 117.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 24?No 97% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 24?Yes 97.5% 167.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 24?Yes 96.4% 76.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 24?Yes 96.4% 56.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?Yes 98% 195 shares