Polymarket Trader

buket

0x557dd3f2a04ca607d60d2711fb910f825778e40b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $913.09
Realized PnL: $29.41
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $860.54
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $560.54

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $17.76
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $997.16
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $7.76

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.48
Potential profit: $92.48
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.87
Potential profit: $58.87
User PnL: -$9.64

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $51.81
Potential profit: $49.04
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.2
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.25
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $25.44
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.13
Potential profit: $28.13
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $4.26
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $16.15
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $15.42
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $9.73
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $1.26
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $4.08
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 57% 8.77 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

No 91% 10.99 shares
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

No 57.7% 8.66 shares
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Yes 9.6% 51.81 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.6% 17.24 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 17% 29.41 shares
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Down 30% 3.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Up 32% 3.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Up 30% 3.3 shares