Polymarket Trader

dr.Nico

0x5588b3afbc62e4ab911dd6911ff9cd0251fc2a46

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $205.27
Realized PnL: $148.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $157.85
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $252.15
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$59.05

Yes position

Will Alliance Guardians Win North America ACE Stage 3

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $119.87
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $36.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $63.5
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$11.5

No position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $79.99
Potential profit: $69.19
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38

No position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.2

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Packers

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Houston position

Houston vs. UCF

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

Army position

Army vs. Air Force

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.04

Shelton position

Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

Central Michigan position

Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.4

Capitals position

Capitals vs. Canadiens

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Ball State position

Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Heat position

Knicks vs. Heat

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Missouri State position

Florida International vs. Missouri State

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

Central Michigan position

Buffalo vs. Central Michigan

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Flyers position

Predators vs. Flyers

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Auger-Aliassime position

Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Grizzlies

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Kings

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

No 39% 15 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

5.4% 35.93 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04?

4.5% 64.67 shares
Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3

Yes 23% 38.4 shares
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Australia 45% 50 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

43.6% 58.79 shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Yes 51% 184.16 shares
Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3

Yes 24% 20 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance AND Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

57% 49.62 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?

Yes 46% 20 shares
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance AND Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

2.5% 96.8 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

3.3% 58.79 shares