No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.19K
- Potential payout
- $4.58K
- Potential profit
- $389.22
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $342.85
Polymarket Trader
polarbear1
0x558d41ff832e5239438c22f2964dd2e918984f7b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.19K
- Realized PnL
- $37.14
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.28
No position
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$16.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 29 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No 76% 51.99 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No 97.9% 56 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No 91% 6 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No 21% 8.57 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 99.6% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 99.6% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 99.5% 661.16 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 35% 20 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething 34% 20 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?Yes 36% 12 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No 66% 12 shares