Polymarket Trader

0x559F2E3834AfDCfCab2757431A570895b1c004A4-1770151107906

0x559f2e3834afdcfcab2757431a570895b1c004a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.35
Realized PnL: -$177.82
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $834.81
Potential profit: $833.56
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$18.75

No position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $233
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$44.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.22

No position

Peter Attia out by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Pistons position

Nuggets vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.9

No position

Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Sibir Novosibirsk position

KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.06

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "Best" 5+ times during 2pm signing?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Zakharova position

Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Anastasia Zakharova

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Yes 4.9% 1,527.52 shares
Peter Attia out by February 15?

No 70.6% 62.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Up 79% 25.14 shares
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Yes 4.8% 2,084.94 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?

Down 29% 68.97 shares
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Up 46% 42.81 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Yes 16% 623.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Up 69% 28.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Yes 10.4% 960.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Yes 4.7% 7,451.87 shares
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

Sibir Novosibirsk 54% 31.59 shares