Polymarket Trader

KaizerKLL

0x55b4a0847bcc1b28a36ac33df090a0c937e8513c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.2
Realized PnL: $31.64
Win rate: 84.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.6
Potential profit: $198.6
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.27
Potential profit: $112.27
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $26.04
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $15.63
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $16.04

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $16.46
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $25.21
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $11.46

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.88
Potential profit: $40.88
User PnL: -$4.82

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.61
Potential profit: $32.61
User PnL: -$3

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.78
Potential profit: $24.78
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.2
Potential profit: $24.2
User PnL: -$4.84

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$10

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $19.67
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.93

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $12.64
Potential payout: $20.55
Potential profit: $7.91
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$2.36

Yes position

Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.04
Potential profit: $18.04
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.76
Potential profit: $17.76
User PnL: -$10

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.01
Potential profit: $17.01
User PnL: -$5

No position

Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

No position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will "Expensive" be said during Eurovision?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

Yes 27.7% 18.04 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Yes 43% 23.26 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

No 45% 22.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?

Up 34% 29.41 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 12% 41.67 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

No 24% 41.67 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Yes 46% 21.74 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

No 37% 27.03 shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 73% 20.55 shares
Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 5.4% 18.52 shares
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 63% 7.94 shares