Polymarket Trader

mingtian6

0x55b6160802ffd2effbac05da393fcff0d7da33d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.23
Realized PnL: $0.15
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $5.41
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.17

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 90.9%
Current value: $3.41
Potential payout: $3.75
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $3.71
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $3.4
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.12

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $2.93
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.91
Potential payout: $2.91
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75
Potential profit: $2.75
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.16
Potential profit: $2.16
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $2.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Eintracht Spandau position

LoL: Team Phantasma vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group H

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.21

Pcific Esports position

Valorant: Pcific Esports vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.22

LGD Gaming position

LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 46.3% 2.16 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

No 36.3% 2.75 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 64% 1.56 shares
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

No 67% 2.93 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 67% 3.4 shares
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Yes 61% 5.41 shares
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

No 68% 4.78 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 76% 2.91 shares