Polymarket Trader

0x55B6881d3C6154dC5642160707053F568fd3F489-1775112787223

0x55b6881d3c6154dc5642160707053f568fd3f489

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.15
Realized PnL: $312.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $187.99
Potential profit: $187.52
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.52

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $109.67
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.66

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $109.09
Potential profit: $104.18
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$7.09

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.96
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $100.18
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$8.04

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $62.88
Potential profit: $62.53
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$9.1

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.79
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.71

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.73
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$4.88

No position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.9
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.13
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.73
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.05
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.79
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.86
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.89
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $37.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.65
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.8
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.2
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.04
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $10.79
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.21
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $8.88

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $8.89
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.21

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.22

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.21

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.08

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.77

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.07

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.93

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 5?

No 11% 109.09 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 5?

Yes 14% 107.14 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 29% 6.45 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Yes 6% 36 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 12% 16.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 13% 20 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29?

No 12.7% 12.75 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 30?

No 19% 30 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 4.1% 50 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 30?

Yes 17% 29.99 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 23% 5 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 19% 10.53 shares