Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $3.05K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $11.95K
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- -$4.45K
Polymarket Trader
Kaythoven
0x55b721af9b6323ddc994db71878e1e0be5133775
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.83K
- Realized PnL
- $6.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Current value
- $11.95K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $3.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $4.45K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.99K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Trump out as President by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.48K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $23.75
- User PnL
- $5.76
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $2.05K
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $28.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.63
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $52.87
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $994.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $999.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $603.09
- Potential payout
- $625.29
- Potential profit
- $22.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $19.95
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $497.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- User PnL
- $3.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.66
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.4
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.53
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.36
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.73
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.65
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.18
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.53
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.22
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.81
No position
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.81
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.01
Yes position
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.84
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
No position
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.26
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.07
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95.5% 274.06 shares
- Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No 97.9% 254.84 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.8% 2,000 shares
- Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No 99.9% 400.68 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 96.7% 261.29 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 98.3% 585.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.7% 2,000 shares
- Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No 98.7% 324.14 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 96.4% 1,249.99 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 99.9% 2,000 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 99.7% 2,500 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 1,500 shares