N
No position
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $14.59
- Potential payout
- $171.69
- Potential profit
- $157.1
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$18.59
Polymarket Trader
Dethronetheking
0x55bcb7346c730483a48e1c37a0e07f65f28552d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $429.52
- Realized PnL
- $281.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.3%
- Current value
- $60.14
- Potential payout
- $132.9
- Potential profit
- $72.76
- Multiplier
- 2.21x
- User PnL
- -$32.34
Y
Yes position
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $73.59
- Potential payout
- $112.35
- Potential profit
- $38.76
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $14.95
- Potential payout
- $30.21
- Potential profit
- $15.26
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $17.37
- Potential payout
- $30.21
- Potential profit
- $12.84
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $12.84
- Potential payout
- $30.21
- Potential profit
- $17.37
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $18.71
- Potential payout
- $30.18
- Potential profit
- $11.47
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $3.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $15.01
- Potential payout
- $28.06
- Potential profit
- $13.05
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $15.84
- Potential payout
- $28.04
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $17.77
- Potential payout
- $27.98
- Potential profit
- $10.21
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $26.81
- Potential payout
- $27.77
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $25.91
- Potential profit
- $15.93
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$4.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $17.22
- Potential payout
- $25.89
- Potential profit
- $8.67
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $14.38
- Potential payout
- $23.77
- Potential profit
- $9.39
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $13.28
- Potential payout
- $22.7
- Potential profit
- $9.42
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $20.89
- Potential profit
- $20.87
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.86
- Potential payout
- $20.87
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $11.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $12.38
- Potential payout
- $19.81
- Potential profit
- $7.43
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $3.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $11.39
- Potential payout
- $19.81
- Potential profit
- $8.42
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $19.79
- Potential profit
- $19.78
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $19.79
- Potential profit
- $13.85
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $7.03
- Potential payout
- $18.73
- Potential profit
- $11.71
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $11.8
- Potential payout
- $18.73
- Potential profit
- $6.93
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.62
- Potential payout
- $17.63
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $8.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.63
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Up position
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.69
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.49
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $10.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
Up position
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 3?Yes 48% 30.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 2?Yes 48% 30.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 2?Yes 63% 22.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 3?Yes 60% 23.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?Yes 56% 25.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?Yes 55% 25.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 3?Yes 52% 28.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 2?Yes 52.1% 27.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?Yes 51% 28.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?Yes 51.5% 27.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?Yes 49% 30.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 2?Yes 48% 30.21 shares