Polymarket Trader

Madrileno99

0x55bd222f875ccacc59ee822e77060c6e552645e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.64
Realized PnL: $11.69K
Win rate: 76.9%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.3K
Potential profit: $24.3K
User PnL: -$219.96

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.14K
Potential profit: $8.14K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.13K
Potential profit: $4.13K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $3.85K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.76K
User PnL: -$299.99

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $12.33
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$37.67

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.69K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 3 New Zealand?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $996.22
Potential profit: $996.22
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $847.46
Potential profit: $847.46
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $10.31
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $614.69
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$39.69

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.88
Potential profit: $369.88
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.63
Potential profit: $115.63
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.24K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $593.48

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.36

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $153.71

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.07

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during the Black History Month reception?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Trump say "Black American" 5+ times during the Black History Month reception?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$133.32

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$169.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 2.8% 1,761.76 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 8% 625 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 847.46 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 1,694.92 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 2.4% 4,129 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

8.8% 550.85 shares
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 3 New Zealand?

Yes 8.9% 1,120.57 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 17% 588.24 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 21% 476.19 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 17.3% 741.14 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 14.9% 620 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 9.9% 333.77 shares