0x55Ca2dC6Ecc38AE09d50A41Ec1ce4b60C440c5F5-1769822678928

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 12PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $343.33
Potential profit: $343.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.07
Potential profit: $145.07
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.08
Potential profit: $112.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.04
Potential profit: $107.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.78
Potential profit: $65.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $61.1
Potential profit: $60.83
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.43
Potential profit: $45.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.7
Potential profit: $43.7
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.62
Potential profit: $43.62
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.48
Potential profit: $33.48
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.71
Potential profit: $32.71
User PnL: -$0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.79

Yes position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18

Yes position

Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Big Game: Coin toss winner wins the Big Game?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Heads position

Big Game: Coin Toss

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?