Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $288.63
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.15K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$466.25
Polymarket Trader
0x55E0F2427aF2c4d66D013B1583ee86163ff63f5E-1771090898582
0x55e0f2427af2c4d66d013b1583ee86163ff63f5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $288.63
- Realized PnL
- -$387.57
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.17
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.81
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.39
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.19
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.45
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46.81
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 4,440.53 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 11% 183.03 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 93% 123.45 shares
- Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?Yes 80.8% 246.17 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?Yes 83.8% 175.47 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?Yes 88% 173.86 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes 90.8% 145.49 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes 12% 390.08 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 46% 319.14 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 26% 183.04 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 47% 319.15 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 81% 123.46 shares