Polymarket Trader

Yirmeyahu

0x55f35253852930ef05a1a3f8dcd0007f6b0acada

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $50.33K
Realized PnL: $30.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $26.45K
Potential payout: $32.85K
Potential profit: $6.41K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $209.34

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $12.06K
Potential payout: $12.15K
Potential profit: $91.11
User PnL: $2.61K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $7.37K
Potential profit: $6.01K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $558.03

Yes position

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $118.6
Potential payout: $5.79K
Potential profit: $5.67K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$42.24

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $5.04K
Potential payout: $5.16K
Potential profit: $126.47
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$10.86

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $7.99
User PnL: $348.92

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $826.94
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $663.05
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $22.35

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $126
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $226.95
Potential payout: $280.18
Potential profit: $53.23
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$10.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01K

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

No position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Sinner position

Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $988.24

No position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $986.39

Yes position

Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $938.53

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $782.9

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $722.94

No position

Will Trump attend UFC 322?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.01

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $629.78

Yes position

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $587

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $554.66

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $554.2

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $527.18

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $512

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $463.01

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $432.44

Yes position

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $417.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 94% 122 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 93% 383.08 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.6% 477.33 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

No 97.3% 162.01 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

No 97.8% 5,000 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.6% 5,070.61 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 94% 1,060.76 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.6% 971.38 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 95% 1,060 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.6% 960.7 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 95% 407.79 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.6% 444.77 shares