Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $18K
- Potential profit
- $16.47K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.35K
Polymarket Trader
Cryptoresearch
0x560d2901f3e1503b3c2e399a4d3f15a6e4b0a298
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.4K
- Realized PnL
- $195.31
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.19K
- Potential profit
- $4.19K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.35K
- Potential profit
- $3.35K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$128
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $495.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- User PnL
- $405.25
Yes position
Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $34.65
- Potential payout
- $385.03
- Potential profit
- $350.38
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$165.35
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $335.14
- Potential payout
- $335.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $118.79
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.43
- Potential profit
- $156.43
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $98.04
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.7
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$13.3
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.75
No position
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $101.73
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.72
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.08
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $55.56
No position
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.73
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.31
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$61.01
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$336.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?No 82.3% 499.99 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 14% 1,843.66 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 15% 34 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 74% 135.14 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 63.9% 156.43 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 37% 1,351.35 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 19% 526.32 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes 40.7% 200 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 21% 952.38 shares
- US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes 14.9% 3,351.32 shares
- Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No 75.2% 665.14 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 18% 2,777.78 shares