Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.46
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$10.36
Polymarket Trader
AstoriaMorgan
0x561f2a08521bc4a35082d201aeb90c03af312822
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.14
- Realized PnL
- $83.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Current value
- $22.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $77.85
- Multiplier
- 4.51x
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $74.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $25.55
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $21.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.74
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 42°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 6°C or below on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 25.9% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 12.9% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 53% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on June 16?No 99.9% 33.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes 9.2% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes 42.3% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes 43.1% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 3?No 99.9% 35.04 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 3?Yes 99.9% 6.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?No 99.9% 7.01 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.9% 5.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 42°C on May 30?No 99.9% 33.03 shares