fortniteplayer

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.26K
Potential profit: $6.26K
User PnL: -$433.99

Yes position

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.46K
Potential profit: $4.46K
User PnL: -$19.99

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.57K
User PnL: -$62

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.32K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $2.75K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $2.39K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7.98
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$56.01

Yes position

Trump out as President by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.96K
User PnL: -$24.69

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $48.14
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $30.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$27.83

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $27.88
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $25.68
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$4.32

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$16.79

Down position

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$32

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 9, 9PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $962.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $943.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $749.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $673.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $661.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $629.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $584.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.24

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.7

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.08

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET