No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $335.7
- Potential payout
- $337.9
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- User PnL
- $5.72
Polymarket Trader
Satoshi..
0x564a61772f5fde1c3e0806e814a193983c2f8871
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.45K
- Realized PnL
- $491.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $210.13
- Potential payout
- $214.42
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $168.26
- Potential payout
- $169.28
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $159.59
- Potential payout
- $160.8
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $101.89
- Potential payout
- $103.28
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C or below on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $85.49
- Potential payout
- $85.75
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $78.81
- Potential payout
- $79.24
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $71.22
- Potential payout
- $71.61
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or below on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $54.81
- Potential payout
- $55.68
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or below on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $46.09
- Potential payout
- $46.32
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $31.36
- Potential payout
- $31.53
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $29.63
- Potential payout
- $29.79
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $29.58
- Potential payout
- $29.68
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $22.91
- Potential payout
- $23.04
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $20.08
- Potential payout
- $20.2
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $1.91
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.92
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.61
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.96
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C or below on June 20?No 99.9% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 20?No 98.7% 51.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 19?No 99.9% 23.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on June 19?No 98.9% 14.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on June 19?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C or below on June 20?No 99.9% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 18?No 99.9% 23.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 18?No 99.8% 8.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C or below on June 20?No 99% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 19?No 99% 1.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 19?No 99% 6.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on June 20?No 96.6% 39.39 shares