Polymarket Trader

guge22

0x565696f11e34c119f06d840aedd8253245aedc08

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.27
Realized PnL: $100.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $36.5
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $13.45

Yes position

Will "Samsung" be in the headlines this week?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.77
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will "Reform" be in the headlines this week?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.15
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: $3.83

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.8

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Elon post "Football" on X this week?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will "Inflation" be in the headlines this week?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.31
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$14

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $16
User PnL: -$12.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Solana above $215 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.27

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

No position

Will Randy Fine win by 15-20%?

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Yes position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.9%
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Yes 3.5% 20 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 92% 21.74 shares
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 90% 44.44 shares
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Yes 96% 72.92 shares
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

No 97.5% 26.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Yes 97.3% 43.17 shares
Will Solana dip to $120 in November?

No 98.3% 39.67 shares
Will XRP reach $3.10 October 13-19?

No 99.7% 19.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

No 99.4% 32.19 shares
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?

Yes 99% 55.56 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Yes 99.9% 11.32 shares
Will XRP reach $5.00 in September?

No 99.8% 95.19 shares