Polymarket Trader

LuchoTrader

0x565af3f8689747c5395ccd6d36d28cd5c328cbe3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.51K
Realized PnL: $504.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $789.45

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $603.43
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $2.9K
Multiplier: 5.80x
User PnL: $45.1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $558.25
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $2.94K
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $117.04

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$304.2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.9%
Current value: $624.71
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $2.88K
Multiplier: 5.60x
User PnL: $284.86

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$241.84

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $146.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.35K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $68.96

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$40.9

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$33.6

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$25.1

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$24.4

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$12.6

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $980.5
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $9.7

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $915
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $85
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 3.3% and 3.5%?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $473.67
Potential payout: $475.1
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: $3.79

No position

Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $296.1
Potential payout: $445.27
Potential profit: $149.17
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $39.45

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $184.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $115.5
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $64.5

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.1%
Current value: $69.15
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $230.84
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: -$47.22

No position

Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be at least 3.6%?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $140.62
Potential payout: $141.11
Potential profit: $0.49
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 2.7% and 2.9%?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $118.16
Potential payout: $118.63
Potential profit: $0.47
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$7.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.15

No position

Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.6

No position

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be 3.7% or higher?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.07

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $15.01

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Thiago Almada be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

No position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.3

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

No position

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.78

Yes position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.7% and 3.9%?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.76

No position

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.72

No position

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29

No position

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

No position

Will Frances Tiafoe be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Carlos Alcaraz position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverry

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Lanús win Copa Libertadores?

Ends Dec 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

No position

Will Paraguay be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Enzo Fernández be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 3,500 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 91% 1,000 shares
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.2%?

No 99% 1 shares
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

No 57% 60 shares
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

No 58% 40 shares
Will Frances Tiafoe be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

No 98.6% 39.49 shares
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?

Yes 68% 5 shares
Will Frances Tiafoe be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

No 98.8% 220 shares
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?

No 98.5% 10.5 shares
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Yes 3% 35 shares
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

No 58% 100 shares
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 2.7% and 2.9%?

No 98.9% 118.63 shares