OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $287.13
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $838.87
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$106.97
Polymarket Trader
ohial
0x56618e2d092d79bba5b41afd122aef8a43a4ef17
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.76K
- Realized PnL
- $5.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $415.15
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $635.86
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $99.84
Southern Super Stars position
Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $628.5
- Potential payout
- $911
- Potential profit
- $282.5
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $473.63
No position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.1%
- Current value
- $287.85
- Potential payout
- $423
- Potential profit
- $135.15
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $178.72
Yes position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $145.8
- Potential payout
- $216
- Potential profit
- $70.2
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $52.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $775.08
Yes position
Legends Cricket League: Mumbai Spartans vs Konark Suryas Odisha - Completed match?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.12
Yes position
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.59
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 8PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.17
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.37
Yes position
Will "California" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $291.5
Yes position
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $288.47
Yes position
Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $247.51
Yes position
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $246.24
Yes position
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.41
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.56
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $187.02
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 22 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $141.68
No position
Will Marshall Curry - SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night win Best Director of a Documentary Series or News at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.76
Olympiacos B.C. position
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.02
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.9
No position
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.96
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.95
Yes position
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.91
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.37
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.38
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.8
Yes position
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.33
No position
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?Yes 17% 10 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No 52% 24 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 62% 543 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 62% 300 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 62% 843 shares
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 19)No 59% 835 shares
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 19)No 59% 914 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 43% 33 shares
- Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?No 9% 49 shares
- Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?No 9% 762 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 20% 592 shares
- Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No 81% 42 shares