Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $196.77
- Potential payout
- $385.83
- Potential profit
- $189.06
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $14.01
Polymarket Trader
0x5663...f2e5
0x5663f5e8005dae03a574cc73919931923f76f2e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.55K
- Realized PnL
- $548.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $222.85
- Potential payout
- $242.23
- Potential profit
- $19.38
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.29
Yes position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $220.32
- Potential payout
- $228.08
- Potential profit
- $7.75
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $38.6
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $191.08
- Potential payout
- $193.49
- Potential profit
- $2.42
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $11.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $115.56
- Potential payout
- $117.32
- Potential profit
- $1.76
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $76.33
- Potential payout
- $103.15
- Potential profit
- $26.82
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Ends Oct 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $86.17
- Potential payout
- $91.87
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $88.52
- Potential profit
- $85.43
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $64.7
- Potential payout
- $67.01
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $45.68
- Potential payout
- $64.79
- Potential profit
- $19.11
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $38.57
- Potential payout
- $58.88
- Potential profit
- $20.31
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.12
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $7.69
- Potential payout
- $56.99
- Potential profit
- $49.29
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Yes position
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $42.14
- Potential payout
- $46.56
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $34.64
- Potential payout
- $36.29
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Alex Caruso win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $33.44
- Potential payout
- $33.44
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $32.22
- Potential payout
- $33.18
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $30.75
- Potential payout
- $31.81
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $13.38
- Potential payout
- $22.68
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $22.33
- Potential payout
- $22.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $18.13
- Potential payout
- $20.26
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $19.2
- Potential profit
- $9.69
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$3.14
No position
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $11.71
- Potential payout
- $16.61
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New York Knicks be the 2026 NBA Finals matchup?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.95
- Potential payout
- $15.95
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks be the 2026 NBA Finals matchup?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.92
- Potential payout
- $14.92
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.71
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.03
Yes position
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.23
Yes position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.27
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $18.44
Yes position
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.27
Knicks position
Spread: Spurs (-19.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.36
No position
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.72
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.89
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.47
Over position
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.87
No position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.54
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.33
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $9.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26
Over position
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92
Yes position
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 60% 3.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?Yes 96% 17.02 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 60% 3.08 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 95.5% 19.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?Yes 96.6% 72.04 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 60% 2.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?Yes 92% 28.25 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 59% 13.44 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 67% 3.34 shares
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Yes 90% 2.9 shares
- Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 18% 6.72 shares