Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.98K
- Potential profit
- $32.98K
- User PnL
- -$2.35K
Polymarket Trader
ya1234
0x566a678a940dabd8a6b4a9c65d8e55a9a1e50d19
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $15.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.87K
- Potential profit
- $25.87K
- User PnL
- -$1.95K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.25K
- Potential profit
- $16.25K
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.94K
- Potential profit
- $7.94K
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.15K
- Potential profit
- $5.15K
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$277.61
Rebeka Masarova position
Madrid Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Rebeka Masarova
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$23.31
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $982.46
- Potential profit
- $982.46
- User PnL
- -$113.51
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $858.33
- Potential profit
- $858.33
- User PnL
- -$495.85
Yes position
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $590.3
- Potential profit
- $590.3
- User PnL
- -$12.51
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $527.24
- Potential profit
- $527.24
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $376.07
- Potential profit
- $376.07
- User PnL
- -$101.54
Yes position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $368.42
- Potential profit
- $368.42
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $336.5
- Potential profit
- $336.5
- User PnL
- -$134.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329.33
- Potential profit
- $329.33
- User PnL
- -$235
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54K
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $585.99
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.13
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.41
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.7
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.55
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.93
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.07
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.76
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETDown 99% 931.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETDown 81.1% 931.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown 98% 780.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown 96.7% 780.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp 98% 773.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp 89.2% 773.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown 99% 703.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown 82.4% 703.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETDown 99% 592.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETDown 85.3% 592.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETUp 99% 517.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETUp 87% 517.24 shares