Polymarket Trader

lontou

0x568251a921b5f76d17991310425e66dd450597af

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.67K
Realized PnL: $68.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $18.67K
Potential payout: $95K
Potential profit: $76.33K
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $2.22K

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.94K
Potential profit: $8.94K
User PnL: -$6.08K

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01K
Potential profit: $5.01K
User PnL: -$2.75K

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$2.6K

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$154

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.42K

Under position

Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7K

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28K

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44K

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36K

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11K

Under position

Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 43.5

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49K

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

Yes position

S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.40 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

No position

Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

No position

Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Brevis FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 200 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.7% 5,000 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.6% 46,674.21 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 40,000 shares
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5

Under 99.9% 476.73 shares
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)

Uruguay 95.9% 10,000 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 68% 2,941.18 shares
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)

Uruguay 97.5% 8,457.37 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 55% 5,006 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 68% 6,000 shares
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5

Under 89% 4,091 shares
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5

Under 95.1% 90 shares