No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $16.94K
- Potential payout
- $17.03K
- Potential profit
- $85.14
- User PnL
- $3.7K
Polymarket Trader
SirHarryOakes
0x5685bf6758facce7d1221d3cc3ab0fdb836a62e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $79.7K
- Realized PnL
- $34.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $13.03K
- Potential payout
- $14.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $3.03K
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.4%
- Current value
- $9.33K
- Potential payout
- $10.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $165.77
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $6.86K
- Potential payout
- $7.22K
- Potential profit
- $360.87
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $706.87
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $6.4K
- Potential payout
- $6.49K
- Potential profit
- $90.84
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $586.77
No position
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $6.14K
- Potential payout
- $6.22K
- Potential profit
- $80.85
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $714.48
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $3.89K
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $35.29
- User PnL
- $219.59
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.7K
- Potential payout
- $3.71K
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- User PnL
- $421.8
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $2.65K
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $726.68
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$35.51
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $3.13K
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $29.98
- User PnL
- $117.81
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $2.37K
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $610.39
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $367.12
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $2.34K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $445.89
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $340.9
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $235.96
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $91.35
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $500.49
- Potential payout
- $559.21
- Potential profit
- $58.72
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $397.1
- Potential payout
- $464.44
- Potential profit
- $67.34
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $294.2
- Potential payout
- $315.84
- Potential profit
- $21.63
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$8.51
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $214.46
- Potential payout
- $261.54
- Potential profit
- $47.08
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $14.46
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $104.74
- Potential payout
- $105.42
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- User PnL
- $4.74
Eagles position
49ers vs. Eagles
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.04
- Potential profit
- $33.04
- User PnL
- -$25.44
Yes position
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $28.38
- Potential payout
- $29.35
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.04
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
U.S. military action against Iran in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $881.58
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $836.18
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $824.36
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $789.72
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $759.52
Yes position
Will a Republican win Alaska Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $741.32
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $689.17
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $661.65
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.78
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $633.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 79% 295.97 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 79% 1,265.82 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.6% 1,235.28 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 81% 419.74 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes 86.7% 115.29 shares
- Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 85.7% 116.68 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 83% 120.48 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 79.9% 1,251.9 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.6% 1,647.05 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 78.5% 146.46 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 88% 113.82 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 101 shares