ronaldcapital

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $71.62
Potential profit: $70.98
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$5.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $66.62
Potential profit: $62.29
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $10.66
Potential payout: $66.62
Potential profit: $55.96
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $66.62
Potential profit: $66.25
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$5.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $66.62
Potential profit: $66.49
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$5.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C or higher on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $66.62
Potential profit: $66.55
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$5.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $66.62
Potential profit: $66.45
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $7.66
Potential payout: $66.62
Potential profit: $58.96
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $50.73
Potential profit: $50.68
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $50.73
Potential profit: $50.68
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.73
Potential profit: $50.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.73
Potential profit: $50.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $50.73
Potential profit: $50.68
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 4?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $46.62
Potential profit: $42.19
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $45.73
Potential profit: $45.64
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 4?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $40.73
Potential profit: $40.02
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$2.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 92.6%
Current value: $37.04
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $2.96
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $38.38
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $1.62
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 4?

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $35.21
Potential payout: $37.51
Potential profit: $2.31
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $29.28
Potential payout: $34.27
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $30.73
Potential profit: $30.68
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 90.1%
Current value: $27.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.88
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$5.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $27.45
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.83

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $13.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $9.46

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $5.9

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $5.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $4.94

Yes position

Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.86

Yes position

Will "War Machine" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

Will Madagascar vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Yes position

Will Algeria vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will Peru vs. Honduras end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

Yes position

Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 4?