Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$299.99
Polymarket Trader
0x568a...a854
0x568a683762c6abd9415967a15f4a4054473ea854
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $52.68
- Realized PnL
- $70.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$4.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$3.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$4.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.32
- Potential profit
- $833.32
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.09
- Potential profit
- $833.09
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.32
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $92.83
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $92.54
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.28
- Potential profit
- $89.28
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.32
- Potential profit
- $83.32
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.7%
- Current value
- $19.88
- Potential payout
- $80.65
- Potential profit
- $60.77
- Multiplier
- 4.06x
- User PnL
- $17.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $75.76
- Potential profit
- $75.72
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $69.44
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.95
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $48.62
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $34.56
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- $18.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $54.15
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.43
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.43
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?Yes 8% 6.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 5?Yes 3.4% 11.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 5?Yes 2.6% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 5?Yes 7.6% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 84% 15.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on July 4?Yes 0.4% 427.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 4?Yes 0.4% 700.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?Yes 0.4% 833.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on July 4?Yes 0.2% 80 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 3?Yes 0.7% 36.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 3?Yes 0.5% 255.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 3?Yes 0.4% 35.32 shares