Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $682.26
- Potential payout
- $6.15K
- Potential profit
- $5.46K
- Multiplier
- 9.01x
- User PnL
- $182.26
Polymarket Trader
lexluthor
0x569cd36bdf43d1a5d9e7caf46becf680033f682c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $985.78
- Realized PnL
- -$26.47
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $12.89
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$57.1
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $290.63
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Will a Republican win Colorado Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.27
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,400 on September 13?
Ends Sep 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.43
Yes position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will there be 676-700 points scored NFL week 1?
Ends Sep 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trump position
Who will win the debate according to polls?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will there be 701-725 points scored NFL week 1?
Ends Sep 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Swan Bitcoin insolvent by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tesla" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trans" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$312.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 0.8% 625 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 3% 333.33 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 17% 58.82 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 14% 357.14 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 16% 625 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 16% 1,250 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 8.1% 6,146.47 shares
- Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?Yes 0.6% 5,584 shares
- Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?Yes 2.8% 3,850 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 53.9% 200 shares
- Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?Yes 2.8% 1,954.64 shares