Polymarket Trader

KeiranHalcyon

0x569d79f55ab1cb086c3d076687739d63bdf68a39

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $609.34
Realized PnL: $1.69K
Win rate: 84.6%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $609.34
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $858.95
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $9.34

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $683.85
Potential profit: $683.85
User PnL: -$450

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550.93
Potential profit: $550.93
User PnL: -$94.03

Islanders position

Senators vs. Islanders

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.67
Potential profit: $143.67
User PnL: -$97.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.08
Potential profit: $43.08
User PnL: -$20.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.09
Potential profit: $21.09
User PnL: -$7.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $726.02

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $669.23

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.32

Up position

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.57

Rangers position

Rangers vs. Lightning

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Capitals position

Capitals vs. Penguins

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Flyers position

Penguins vs. Flyers

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$314.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Penguins vs. Flyers

Flyers 54% 92.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Down 34% 147.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Down 60% 83.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Down 58% 86.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Down 45% 111.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Up 72.8% 137.4 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

No 17% 158.82 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 40.9% 1,468.29 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

No 24.4% 409.58 shares
Rangers vs. Lightning

Rangers 40% 125 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?

Yes 27.1% 686 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?

Yes 72.9% 686.1 shares