Polymarket Trader

pinkstenis

0x56ac4f06c203d9dcfb1bc23a0ab06995de35de67

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $185.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kamala president by Friday?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.74
Potential profit: $185.74
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

Ends Nov 24, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2023?

Ends Sep 30, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.52
Potential profit: $89.52
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?

Ends Oct 2, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.12
Potential profit: $50.12
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Is Google shutting down Gmail?

Ends Feb 23, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.66
Potential profit: $44.66
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Shohei Ohtani suspension by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.67
Potential profit: $36.67
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sweden join NATO by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.5
Potential profit: $22.5
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,000 on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.26
Potential profit: $20.26
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?

Ends Jul 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%?

Ends May 28, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Sweden join NATO by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

zkSync airdrop by June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Kamala say "border" 5 or more times at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$10

Warriors position

2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 3?

Ends Jun 8, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.07
Potential profit: $11.07
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.01
Potential profit: $11.01
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5
Potential profit: $10.5
User PnL: -$0.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2689573.79x
User PnL: $28.12

No position

Trump and Biden both win nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.13

Yes position

Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.45

Celtics position

2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.44

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.07

Warriors position

2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 6?

Ends Jun 16, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?

Ends May 28, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.23

Yes position

[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06

No position

OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus?

Ends Feb 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.03

No position

Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution?

Ends Nov 18, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Will Milady outperform BAYC?

Ends May 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Warriors position

2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 4?

Ends Jun 10, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

United States position

Will Do Kwon be extradited to the United States or South Korea?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will Brentford vs. Manchester City end in a draw?

Ends Jan 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

No position

Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 81953.88x
User PnL: $3.63

Over position

Over 211.5

Ends May 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Barbie position

Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend?

Ends Jul 24, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Knicks position

Spread: Pistons (-0.5)

Ends May 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

$ARB above $1 one week after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2PM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will $ETH moon after Shanghai?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?

Ends Mar 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Up 82% 1.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Up 99% 1.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Up 49% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Up 83% 1.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Down 95% 1.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Up 67% 1.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Down 89% 1.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Up 40% 2.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Down 80% 1.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Up 99% 1.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Up 39% 2.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Down 47% 2.05 shares