Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $654.49
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $445.49
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $555.49
Polymarket Trader
imrene73
0x56b85defe04844dbea06d305b89c5a103fe1f18d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $906.72
- Realized PnL
- $200.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $2.53
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $41.47
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$4.07
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $17.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $22.2
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $36
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $30.86
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $26.7
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $25.62
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25.85
- Potential payout
- $25.85
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $13.18
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $21.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $17.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $18.94
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $18.82
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $9.33
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.9
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.64
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.1
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.04
Yes position
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.03
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
Yes position
Will Trump tweet on inauguration day?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
Lee Jae-myung arrested before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 96% 18.87 shares
- US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?No 90% 30 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.8% 36 shares
- Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes 94.9% 24 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 86% 28 shares
- Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?No 94% 12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 12% 92.28 shares
- Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?Yes 98.8% 24 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 65% 40 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 97.8% 19 shares
- Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?No 97% 30.05 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 79% 25 shares