Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $18.95
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $76.05
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Polymarket Trader
fjyhnggfd
@CarolinaBu26386
0x56b8a0042e591a836b5e8a6a35dc616251f28816
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.53
- Realized PnL
- $10.43
- Win rate
- 90.9%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $29.52
- Potential payout
- $67.87
- Potential profit
- $38.35
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$27.49
Algeria position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $4.11
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.14
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.26
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$24.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Algeria 58% 17.24 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.1% 10.88 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?Yes 99.6% 3.01 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91.9% 10.88 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 84% 67.87 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 74.09 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 99.1% 114.24 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 98% 15.31 shares
- Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes 92% 128.21 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 94.9% 17.91 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No 97.6% 106.51 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No 95% 10.53 shares