Polymarket Trader

YArbib148

0x56baf0224d3cc1bc50e9d66e26695a4312416769

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.27K
Realized PnL: $786.7
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $594.58
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$105.42

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $673.58
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $458.49
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $73.59

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.81
Potential profit: $122.81
User PnL: -$28

No position

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.85
Potential profit: $81.85
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$8.5

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.97
Potential profit: $5.97
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.74

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.04

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $119.4

No position

Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32

No position

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 43% 1,628.99 shares
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

Team Liquid 90% 5.52 shares
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

No 71.9% 917.25 shares
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

No 33.9% 737.72 shares
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

No 19.5% 179.54 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 46.7% 214.15 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 47.6% 210 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 21.2% 2,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 18% 2,000 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 53% 1,132.08 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Yes 77.2% 537.39 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Yes 38% 30 shares