Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $152.97
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$147.03
Polymarket Trader
Dimamam
0x56bbd5265fe4ee145855b8b1149b8544bf6c2949
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.43K
- Realized PnL
- $5.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$130
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$48.5
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $619.45
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $30.55
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $92.95
No position
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $446.28
- Potential payout
- $470.26
- Potential profit
- $23.98
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $187.63
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.29
- Potential profit
- $214.29
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $212.51
- Potential payout
- $213.04
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- User PnL
- $16.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.49
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $603.14
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $593.07
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549.59
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.32
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.18
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.48
Yes position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $109.52
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.26
No position
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.21
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.99
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.38
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.32
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.03
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.25
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.85
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.57
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.76
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.76
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 92% 213.04 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 22% 454.55 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 5% 1,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 26% 384.62 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 26% 384.62 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 500 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 19% 1,052.63 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 500 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 55% 138.06 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 81% 78 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes 14% 214.29 shares